Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?

Q: What are the current Predict.Fun odds for "Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B"?

The current odds are Yes 10.2% and No 89.8%. A Yes price of 10.2% means the market estimates a 10.2% probability the outcome occurs. Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell shares.

Q: How do I trade this Predict.Fun market?

Trading happens on Predict.Fun directly. You buy Yes or No shares at current prices; shares pay $1 in USDT at resolution if the outcome matches. PredictFunScan tracks live odds, volume, and trader activity but does not facilitate trading.

Question

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Created At: 2026-03-02T13:19:01.095743267Z

Answer

No — 89.8% implied probability

Answer

Yes — 10.2% implied probability

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?

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