Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?

Q: What are the current Predict.Fun odds for "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027"?

The current odds are Yes 9.0% and No 91.0%. A Yes price of 9.0% means the market estimates a 9.0% probability the outcome occurs. Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell shares.

Q: How do I trade this Predict.Fun market?

Trading happens on Predict.Fun directly. You buy Yes or No shares at current prices; shares pay $1 in USDT at resolution if the outcome matches. PredictFunScan tracks live odds, volume, and trader activity but does not facilitate trading.

Question

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Answer

No — 91.0% implied probability

Answer

Yes — 9.0% implied probability

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?

Live market data

Frequently asked questions

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